Friday, March 16, 2018

Democratic Infighting vs. The Trojan Lamb

If the Democrats pick up 24 seat, Republicans lose the house. In a midterm election, the president's party -- that's us -- usually loses seats. There's different theories explaining why this happens but we'll just say it has to do with turnout. More people vote in presidential elections. Also, people tend to be a little bit more motivated by negative emotions. So people with a grievance are more likely to show.

In the special election in Pennsylvania. the Democrats got their act together and ran a socially conservative candidate, thereby successfully cherry-picking the district, which was considered safe. So safe the Pennsylvania Supreme Court decided to redistrict the state, practically on its own initiative, apparently applying a criterion --partisan balance-- which has never been applied before.

The Democrats barely won, but they did. So the question on everyone's mind is, can the Democrats do it again? Neo-neocon thinks they can. She believes a bunch of Democrats will run as social conservatives -- or at least moderates -- and then switch tunes upon achieving office. Yes, that could happen, and might happen in some district, but I don't think it can be a widespread phenomena. 

Progressives are already angry at few social conservatives that do remain in the Democratic Party. So angry that they're challenging them, and outside organizations are funding the challengers. I think we're going to see more of this. The Democratic primaries will force candidates to lean left. In the general election, when they lean back towards the center, they'll catch flak from both sides.

Being a Trojan Lamb is hard, especially when some of the Greeks are doing their utmost to burn you to the ground.  

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